Updated outlook shows even greater likelihood of calm hurricane season

FLORIDA, United States – Forecasters are more sure than ever that activity during the current hurricane season will be well below normal.

In May, the likelihood of a below-normal season was 70 per cent. But in an updated outlook released (last week), the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center indicated the probability of a fairly quiet season is now 90 per cent and there may only be one major hurricane even though the season could produce as many as 10 named storms.

It is the highest confidence level given by NOAA since seasonal hurricane outlooks began in 1998.